In my 50-plus years managing money, the really big moves in capital markets have come from events that went largely unnoticed ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...

Stocks are rallying — but is a recession on our doorstep?

Steepening yield curves boost lower-growth, cheaper value stocks — which dominate Europe — relative to growth stocks, which ...

This is actually the situation investors should fear, as the unwinding of an inverted yield curve usually points to trouble on the horizon. History says this is when trouble actually starts ...

The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...

Since the 1970s, every U.S. recession has been preceded by an inverted yield curve. The end of the inversion came in response ...

Wall Street’s favorite recession signal started flashing red in 2022 and hasn’t stopped — and thus far has been wrong every step of the way. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has been ...

The disconnect between hard data and soft data is creating challenges for market participants and Federal Reserve officials, ...