Purdue won the Big Ten by three games last season, despite three road losses. Yet it also went to Champaign and beat its closest competitor — the Illini — in the penultimate game of the regular season.

Purdue’s offense is clicking, scoring 79 or more points in four of its last six games, including 104 against Nebraska two games ago. Smith’s poise at point guard allows the offense to travel well, and the team should find openings behind the arc against a Ducks defense that ranks 140th in 3-point defense vs. the average opponent (per Haslametrics).